Announcement

Collapse
No announcement yet.

The Economy

Collapse
X
 
  • Filter
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts

    #61
    Originally posted by empty_boat View Post
    I won't enter the Obama discussion, but ....
    1981 I was a mechanic at a competing boat dealership. Flooring interest (the interest the boat dealer pays to a commerical bank to have boats on display) was between 21-22% (Today I pay 6-7%).

    My parents bought a home in 1980, I can remeber my mom saying "If we could only get 12 % interest" they paid nearly 14% for their new $100,000 house. (My home loan is under 5%, in the same town, house cost $95k)

    My friends dad(Owen who worked with me at the boat dealership), bought a new 16' Glastron with a 115 Evinrude for about $14,000. He financed the boat for 48 months at 16%, his payment was around $500 if memory serves correctly. (I sell Glastron today and they have a 16' boat with a 115 Evinrude for $16,000. at 7% for 120 months= $169 a month (estimate after a few Coronas))
    (We sold 25 boats that year, I sold over 100 last year(hope to do that this year))

    Monte who was a mechanic with me in 1981 bought a Ski Nautique I don't recall the amount but it was "astronomical" compared to a new Glastron. (Very similiar loan terms)

    In 1992 I opened my delaership, an economic recession was going on, we sold 45 boats the first year, more the next.

    For the 1993 Boat Show, I remeber thinking how great it would be if we could get 11.99 interest for the show (we wer over 12%). We sold 15 boats.

    In 1995 I remeber thinking, it would be great if we could only get 9.99%, we were at 10.99% (we sold 20 boats).

    I am sure I don't need to go on.

    I believe that in any economy, someone is looking to buy. Yes the boat business is off, but someone is out there, making a profit from this economy. I need to find him. I will.

    Keep working hard and be a great employee, there is always work for great people, it may not pay the same, but there is always work for those that rise above mediocrity.

    I hope I don't come across as " pie in the sky" but as of today, I only KNOW one person who is out of work because of this economy. He was a mortgage broker for the "credit challenged". He should never have been able to make a living selling mortgages to people who shouldn't have qualified (IMO) to buy a house.

    As far as the economy goes...
    I believe there is still opportunity out there.
    I believe hard work will still pay off.
    I believe this is a great time to re-evaluate all expenses.
    I believe that employees should be thankful for their jobs and not be pissed off at "the man". (He has at least as much at stake as they do)
    I believe "Bailing Out" a bad business model, only prolongs the inevitable.
    I believe some union philosophy has out lived its relevance, and now is the time to work together.
    I do not belive that a governement that cannot balance a budget (and hasn't for years), should take the car manufacturers to task for poor management.
    (pot calling the kettle black kind of thing)
    I do not know how you can pay farmers to grow grass that they do not harvest, how business can move overseas, how costs can continue to rise (like oil ,even though it is low right now) and you can expect the economy to keep on going like nothing has happened.

    I believe the whole thing started to crumble 3 years ago when gas started to rise unchecked. The marginal person could not tolerate an increase in fuel every month. Basic economics says that if you raise someones expenses, but not their income, they have to quit spending on something else. I believe the oil price speculation lead to this. That coupled with jobs leaving the continent and you have a decrease in what people can spend on discretionary items, that then leads to the discretionary business not being able to spend and so on. It "snow balls" and all of a sudden you have problem.
    However, the real problem is that we all know that there might be a problem, long before there is one, because we are all college educated and we have the government reports that tell us there is a problem and CNN telling us there is a problem, even though there is NO problem immediately facing us. We still have our hoses, our jobs, our savings,(our diminishing retirements), the school is still open, the grocery store still has food, our electricity is still on and water still comes out of the faucet. But, because of the reports and the news, we hold back, we stop buying and the problem multiplies. You don't buy from me, I don't buy from you. If that keeps up we will both be out of work.

    But remember, there is still hope. Some people got rich in the great depression. We live in a prolific ,resilient country. We have resources (mainly our people) that the rest of the world only dreams about. Out of great adversity comes great resolve and great innovation.

    Be part of the solution, not part of the problem.

    BUY A NEW TIGE!
    well said.......very well said

    Comment


      #62
      Originally posted by talltigeguy View Post
      Ben Franklin said 'never trust a young doctor or an old barber'. Times have changed. I myself am leary of some old docs.

      No kidding it is time to change my Doctor. He is recommending to many drastic procedures I think. It might be worth my time to look up some new younger doctor that is up on current times.
      www.automarinecare.com CWB, ACME, FlyHigh, Merc Marine, PCM, Marine-power, WETSOUNDS, HSE Volume Controls, Kicker, Sony, Samson Sports, and many other marine parts or accessory's.

      Comment


        #63
        Originally posted by sparky216 View Post
        well said.......very well said
        Originally posted by empty_boat View Post
        I won't enter the Obama discussion, but ....
        1981 I was a mechanic at a competing boat dealership. Flooring interest (the interest the boat dealer pays to a commerical bank to have boats on display) was between 21-22% (Today I pay 6-7%).

        My parents bought a home in 1980, I can remeber my mom saying "If we could only get 12 % interest" they paid nearly 14% for their new $100,000 house. (My home loan is under 5%, in the same town, house cost $95k)

        My friends dad(Owen who worked with me at the boat dealership), bought a new 16' Glastron with a 115 Evinrude for about $14,000. He financed the boat for 48 months at 16%, his payment was around $500 if memory serves correctly. (I sell Glastron today and they have a 16' boat with a 115 Evinrude for $16,000. at 7% for 120 months= $169 a month (estimate after a few Coronas))
        (We sold 25 boats that year, I sold over 100 last year(hope to do that this year))

        Monte who was a mechanic with me in 1981 bought a Ski Nautique I don't recall the amount but it was "astronomical" compared to a new Glastron. (Very similiar loan terms)

        In 1992 I opened my delaership, an economic recession was going on, we sold 45 boats the first year, more the next.

        For the 1993 Boat Show, I remeber thinking how great it would be if we could get 11.99 interest for the show (we wer over 12%). We sold 15 boats.

        In 1995 I remeber thinking, it would be great if we could only get 9.99%, we were at 10.99% (we sold 20 boats).

        I am sure I don't need to go on.

        I believe that in any economy, someone is looking to buy. Yes the boat business is off, but someone is out there, making a profit from this economy. I need to find him. I will.

        Keep working hard and be a great employee, there is always work for great people, it may not pay the same, but there is always work for those that rise above mediocrity.

        I hope I don't come across as " pie in the sky" but as of today, I only KNOW one person who is out of work because of this economy. He was a mortgage broker for the "credit challenged". He should never have been able to make a living selling mortgages to people who shouldn't have qualified (IMO) to buy a house.

        As far as the economy goes...
        I believe there is still opportunity out there.
        I believe hard work will still pay off.
        I believe this is a great time to re-evaluate all expenses.
        I believe that employees should be thankful for their jobs and not be pissed off at "the man". (He has at least as much at stake as they do)
        I believe "Bailing Out" a bad business model, only prolongs the inevitable.
        I believe some union philosophy has out lived its relevance, and now is the time to work together.
        I do not belive that a governement that cannot balance a budget (and hasn't for years), should take the car manufacturers to task for poor management.
        (pot calling the kettle black kind of thing)
        I do not know how you can pay farmers to grow grass that they do not harvest, how business can move overseas, how costs can continue to rise (like oil ,even though it is low right now) and you can expect the economy to keep on going like nothing has happened.

        I believe the whole thing started to crumble 3 years ago when gas started to rise unchecked. The marginal person could not tolerate an increase in fuel every month. Basic economics says that if you raise someones expenses, but not their income, they have to quit spending on something else. I believe the oil price speculation lead to this. That coupled with jobs leaving the continent and you have a decrease in what people can spend on discretionary items, that then leads to the discretionary business not being able to spend and so on. It "snow balls" and all of a sudden you have problem.
        However, the real problem is that we all know that there might be a problem, long before there is one, because we are all college educated and we have the government reports that tell us there is a problem and CNN telling us there is a problem, even though there is NO problem immediately facing us. We still have our hoses, our jobs, our savings,(our diminishing retirements), the school is still open, the grocery store still has food, our electricity is still on and water still comes out of the faucet. But, because of the reports and the news, we hold back, we stop buying and the problem multiplies. You don't buy from me, I don't buy from you. If that keeps up we will both be out of work.

        But remember, there is still hope. Some people got rich in the great depression. We live in a prolific ,resilient country. We have resources (mainly our people) that the rest of the world only dreams about. Out of great adversity comes great resolve and great innovation.

        Be part of the solution, not part of the problem.

        BUY A NEW TIGE!

        This is tuff time and I like the positive outlook stated here. We need to find more positive like this and move our country forward.
        www.automarinecare.com CWB, ACME, FlyHigh, Merc Marine, PCM, Marine-power, WETSOUNDS, HSE Volume Controls, Kicker, Sony, Samson Sports, and many other marine parts or accessory's.

        Comment


          #64
          X2 I have had it with the doom and gloom, Thanks Sparky!

          Comment


            #65
            Originally posted by SPBFAN View Post
            This is tuff time and I like the positive outlook stated here. We need to find more positive like this and move our country forward.
            We did. His name is Barrack Hussien Obama. He told us what we wanted to hear. So we should all be happy now.

            Comment


              #66
              Originally posted by SPBFAN View Post
              No kidding it is time to change my Doctor. He is recommending to many drastic procedures I think. It might be worth my time to look up some new younger doctor that is up on current times.
              Good! OJT on you, NOT ME!

              Comment


                #67
                Originally posted by SPBFAN View Post
                No kidding it is time to change my Doctor. He is recommending to many drastic procedures I think. It might be worth my time to look up some new younger doctor that is up on current times.
                Or you might consider alternatives. My sister's an herbalist. Some of her remedies are absolutely amazing.
                Cursed by a fortune cookie: "Your principles mean more to you than any money or success."

                Comment


                  #68
                  Something that bugs me no end is, what seems like the increasing number of HUGE dollar frauds. The most recent arrest of Bernard Madoff, former chairman of the NASDAQ.

                  http://news.yahoo.com/s/nm/20081212/..._madoff_arrest

                  He allegedly comitted a $50 BILLION dollar ponzi scheme fraud. When ENRON collapsed, according to the article, it had $63 billion.

                  I am sure that white-collar crime has always been around, but these numbers are so astronomical and the unethical behavior seems almost rampant in financial markets.
                  Buy my kid's board! http://www.flyboywakesurf.com

                  Comment


                    #69
                    If $1 was the same as the weight of 1 grain of sand : $ 700 billion would be the same as 21 ton of sand

                    “weigh just one-millionth of an ounce, roughly equal to a grain of sand."

                    700,000,000,000 /1,000,000 (grains / oz) = 700,000 oz

                    =700,000 oz /16 oz/lb = 43750 lb / 2000 lb/ton = 21 ton = 40 pickup truck loads

                    Comment


                      #70
                      hello.... hello..... So did anybody check my math?.....
                      I thought some one would say "them sure are big numbers". (or something)
                      or start a talk about what this means to inflation or another tangent like
                      how much can this country owe before it all gets called in and
                      how would that be done. (With a warship or through the UN) or what. There
                      has to be a point that is too far and will we know that point when we see it.
                      or is this what it looks like
                      Last edited by chadster2; 12-15-2008, 07:32 PM.

                      Comment


                        #71
                        How many RZ4's would that be, then you would have people checking your math!!!!!

                        Comment


                          #72
                          Originally posted by chadster2 View Post
                          how much can this country owe before it all gets called in and how would that be done. (With a warship or through the UN) or what. There has to be a point that is too far and will we know that point when we see it. Or is this what it looks like
                          I think it will be one big war. So we should be bring our boys home to protect our dirt not others.
                          www.automarinecare.com CWB, ACME, FlyHigh, Merc Marine, PCM, Marine-power, WETSOUNDS, HSE Volume Controls, Kicker, Sony, Samson Sports, and many other marine parts or accessory's.

                          Comment


                            #73
                            Back to Empty_Boat's post:

                            Well said. We're going through another boom/bust/boom cycle. There are always opportunities for people who buy what they can afford. Good businesses build their foundation on selling to those people, then they also sell to the "Temporary-Clampetts." T-C's come and go, and will come back in the next cycle. Business built only on the T-C's will struggle much more.

                            Any time the masses think "this time is different" aka dot.com boom, sub-prime mortgage, real estate, home -equity spending boom, it lasts for a while, then corrects. There will still be buyers of boats, just not as many--or as easy as it has been the last 5 years or so.

                            While I am younger and much less wise than empty-boat, but I've seen a few things:

                            In 79-81, I was a lifeguard and wondered how all these people could afford to belong to a private country club in horrible times of oil shock, 21% interest rates, job losses. Then Carter switched for Reagan and we re-focused.

                            In October 87 I was in my 2nd year at Merrill Lynch and watched the market drop 508 pts in 1 day (22%), yet people still had money. Smart people bought in 88-89, the masses stayed out til the early 90's, only getting back in due to the IPO boom. I left in 1990 to help start a company that focuses on using software to automate hassles. That is something that will never go out of style--sometimes it is just easier to sell, sometimes harder to sell. Like now. BUT

                            A general philosophy I learned:

                            In times of war, prepare for peace
                            In times of peace, prepare for war
                            In times of prosperity, prepare for a rainy day
                            In the rainy season, prepare for the dry spell

                            Or more appropriate for this forum:

                            In the fall, work hard and prepare your boat for winter
                            In winter, work hard and dream of spring and summer
                            In spring, work hard, and prepare for summer
                            In Summer, work hard AND enjoy the boat, your family and friends--the fruits of your labors while thinking about fall.

                            I am bullish on America, and understand the next boom will rise out of this current bust.

                            Comment


                              #74
                              Warren Buffet says "Buy when people are fearful, not arrogant." Anyone accumulating GE?

                              Comment


                                #75
                                Originally posted by jwanck11 View Post
                                Warren Buffet says "Buy when people are fearful, not arrogant." Anyone accumulating GE?
                                I think GE is going to keep going down just a tad more. Indicators show that is should but I don't trust indicators any more. If you look at the volume increase that could also me a up swing for it very soon. This one is hard to call. Just my thoughts.

                                http://bigcharts.marketwatch.com/adv...&time=8&freq=1
                                www.automarinecare.com CWB, ACME, FlyHigh, Merc Marine, PCM, Marine-power, WETSOUNDS, HSE Volume Controls, Kicker, Sony, Samson Sports, and many other marine parts or accessory's.

                                Comment

                                Working...
                                X